Thu Dec 04 2014
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Live Index – Wed, 03 Dec 2014 Premarket

PREMARKET WORLD NEWS

December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 +0.01%) this morning are down -0.02% ahead of the Nov ADP employment report, while European stocks are up +0.10% as signs of slower growth in the Eurozone bolstered the case for more stimulus after the Eurozone Nov Markit composite PMI was revised lower to its slowest pace of expansion in 16 months. The Russian ruble fell back from a record low of 54.9090 per dollar after the Bank of Russia said it sold $ 700 million of dollars on Dec 1, its first intervention since moving to a free float 3-weeks ago. Asian stocks closed mostly higher: Japan +0.32%, Hong Kong -0.95%, China +1.49%, Taiwan +1.55%, Australia +0.77%, Singapore -0.57%, South Korea +0.10%, India unchanged. Japan’s Nikkei Stock Index jumped to a 7-1/3 year high as a plunge in the yen to a 7-1/3 year low against the dollar boosts the earnings prospects of Japanese exporters. China’s Shanghai Stock Index rose to a 3-1/3 year high on speculation the PBOC will loosen monetary policy further to support economic growth. Commodity prices are mixed. Jan crude oil (CLF15 +0.30%) is up +0.48%. Jan gasoline (RBF15 -0.67%) is down -0.55%. Feb gold (GCG15 +0.26%) is up +0.11%. Mar copper (HGH15 -0.54%) is down -0.61%. Agriculture prices are weaker. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.22%) is up +0.27% at a new 5-1/2 year high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.48% at a 2-1/4 year low on speculation the ECB will expand stimulus measures when it meets tomorrow. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.19% at a fresh 7-1/3 year high. Mar T-note prices (ZNH15 -0.09%) are down -3.5 ticks.

The Eurozone Nov Markit composite PMI was revised lower to 51.1 from the originally reported 51.4, the slowest pace of expansion in 16 months.

Eurozone Oct retail sales rose +0.4% m/m and +1.4% y/y, a smaller increase than expectations of +0.5% m/m and +1.6% y/y.

The UK Nov Markit/CIPS services PMI rose +2.4 to 58.6, a larger increase than expectations of +0.3 to 56.5.

The China Nov non-manufacturing PMI rose +0.1 to 53.9, the first increase in 3 months.

The Japan Nov Markit services PMI rose +1.9 to 50.6.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Today’s Nov ADP employment report is expected to show another solid increase of +225,000, which would be close to October’s rise of +230,000. Today’s Nov ISM non-manufacturing index is expected to show a +0.4 increase to 57.5, recovering a bit after the fairly large -1.5 point decline to 57.1 seen in October. Today’s Fed Beige Book should be generally upbeat about the U.S. economy given the recent economic data. There are 6 of the Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: Abercrombie & Fitch (consensus $ 0.41), Brown-Forman (1.04), PVH (2.48), Avago Technologies (1.70), Synopsys (0.61), Leidos Holdings (0.53).

Equity conference this week include: NASDAQ OMX Investor Program on Mon-Wed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Leveraged Finance Conference on Tue-Wed, Big Data & Analytics for Banking Summit on Tue-Wed, Citi Basic Materials Conference on Tue-Wed, Piper Jaffray Health Care Conference on Tue-Wed, Credit Suisse Global Industrials Conference on Tue-Wed, Credit Suisse Technology Conference on Tue-Thu, Goldman Sachs Global Automotive Conference on Thu, and SEMICON Japan 2014 on Thu.

 

 

 

PREMARKET U.S. STOCKS

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF -1.10%) dropped over 5% in pre-market trading after it said it sees Q4 Same-Store-Sales down by mid-to-high single-digit percentage as it lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 adjusted EPS to $ 1.50-$ 1.65, below consensus of $ 1.74.

DISH (DISH -2.42%) was downgraded to ‘Sell’ from ‘Hold’ at Wunderlich.

Vale (VALE -4.58%) was upgraded to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ at Canaccord.

CBOE Holdings (CBOE +0.63%) was downgraded to ‘Sell’ from ‘Neutral’ at Citigroup.

Leidos (LDOS +0.75%) reported Q3 EPS of 65 cents, well above consensus of 53 cents.

British Petroleum (BP +2.23%) was upgraded to ‘Overweight’ from ‘Equal Weight’ at Barclays.

J.C. Penney (JCP -1.86%) fell nearly 3% in pre-market trading after Golman Sachs downgraded the stock to ‘Sell’ from ‘Neutral.”

comScore reports that Cyber Monday desktop online spending reached $ 2.04 billion, up +17% versus a year ago and the heaviest online spending day in history.

OmniVision (OVTI +6.35%) reported Q2 non-GAAP EPS of 60 cents, well above consensus of 51 cents.

Point72 Asset Management reported a 5.1% passive stake in Catalyst Pharmaceutical (CPRX +4.18%) .

Ascena Retail (ASNA -0.69%) jumped over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 28 cents, better than consensus of 26 cents.

Bob Evans (BOBE +2.84%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 36 cents, higher than consensus of 33 cents.

MARKET COMMENTS

Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 +0.01%) this morning are down -0.50 of a point (-0.02%). The S&P 500 index on Tuesday closed higher: S&P 500 +0.64%, Dow Jones +0.58%, Nasdaq +0.42%. Bullish factors included (1) carry-over support from a rally in China’s Shanghai Stock Index to a 3-1/3 year high on speculation the PBOC may be preparing the markets for additional stimulus after it refrained from draining funds from the financial system for the second time in the last five days, and (2) the +1.1% m/m increase in U.S. Oct construction spending, better than expectations of +0.6% m/m and the most in 5 months.

Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH15 -0.09%) this morning are down -3.5 ticks. Mar 10-year T-note futures prices on Tuesday closed lower: TYH5 -18.50, FVH5 -10.75. Negative factors included (1) the larger-than-expected +1.1% increase in Oct construction spending, the most in 5 months, which could push the Fed closer to raising interest rates, and (2) reduced safe-haven demand for T-note as stocks rallied.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.22%) this morning is up +0.237 (+0.27%) at a 5-1/2 year high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0059 (-0.48%) at a 2-1/4 year low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.23 (+0.19%) at a 7-1/3 year high. The dollar index on Tuesday climbed to a 4-1/2 year high and closed higher. Closes: Dollar index -0.410 (-0.46%), EUR/USD +0.00187 (+0.15%), USD/JPY -0.270 (-0.23%). Bullish factors included (1) the larger-than-expected increase in U.S. Oct construction spending, which bolsters the case for the Fed to raise interest rates, and (2) the surge in USD/JPY to a 7-1/3 year high on stronger interest rate differentials for the dollar versus the yen on the prospects for the BOJ to expand stimulus while the Fed stands pat.

Jan WTI crude oil (CLF15 +0.30%) this morning is up +32 cents (+0.48%) and Jan gasoline (RBF15 -0.67%) is down -0.0100 (-0.55%). Jan crude and Jan gasoline on Tuesday closed lower. Closes: CLF5 -2.12 (-3.07%), RBF5 -0.0636 (-3.38%). Bearish factors included (1) a rally in the dollar index to a 4-1/2 year high, (2) an agreement by the Iraqi government and Kurdish authorities that will allow the Kurds to export 300,000 bpd of crude into Turkey, and (3) expectations for weekly EIA crude inventories to rise by +1.75 million bbl on Wednesday.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR12/03/2014
US 0700 ET Weekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -4.3% with purchase sub-index -4.8% and refi sub-index -3.5%.
0815 ET Nov ADP employment change expected +222,000, Oct +230,000.
0830 ET Revised Q3 non-farm productivity expected +2.4% vs previous +2.0%. Revised Q3 unit labor costs expected 0.2%, previous +0.3%.
0945 ET Revised Nov Markit services PMI expected +0.2 to 56.5, prelim-Nov -0.8 to 56.3. Revised Nov Markit composite PMI, prelim-Nov was -1.1 to 56.1.
1000 ET Nov ISM non-manufacturing index expected +0.4 to 57.5, Oct -1.5 to 57.1.
1030 ET EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1230 ET Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks on the economic outlook at the Charlotte City Club.
1400 ET Fed Beige Book.
1400 ET Fed Governor Lael Brainard speaks on financial stability at the Brookings Institution.
EUR 0400 ET Revised Eurozone Nov composite PMI, previous 51.4.
0500 ET Eurozone Oct retail sales expected +0.5% m/m and +1.6% y/y, Sep -1.3% m/m and +0.6% y/y.
0500 ET Revised Eurozone Q3 GDP, previous +0.2% q/q and +0.8% y/y
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR12/03/2014
Company Name Ticker Time Event Description Period Estimate
Leidos Holdings Inc LDOS US 6:00 Q3 2015 Earnings Release Q3 2015 0.53
Fastenal Co FAST US 7:00 November 2014 Sales and Revenue Release 2014
Abercrombie & Fitch Co ANF US 7:00 Q3 2015 Earnings Release Q3 2015 0.411
Brown-Forman Corp BF/B US 8:00 Q2 2015 Earnings Release Q2 2015 1.038
Valspar Corp/The VAL US 8:00 Analyst Day Y 2014
Abercrombie & Fitch Co ANF US 8:00 Q3 2015 Earnings Call Q3 2015
Leidos Holdings Inc LDOS US 8:00 Q3 2015 Earnings Call Q3 2015
ONEOK Inc OKE US 9:00 Q4 2015 Guidance Call Q4 2015
Brown-Forman Corp BF/B US 10:00 Q2 2015 Earnings Call Q2 2015
Whiting Petroleum Corp WLL US 10:30 Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting – M&A Vote Y 2014
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co ADM US 11:00 Investor Day Y 2014
Microsoft Corp MSFT US 11:00 Annual General Meeting Y 2014
Synopsys Inc SNPS US 17:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014
Avago Technologies Ltd AVGO US 17:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014
PVH Corp PVH US Aft-mkt Q3 2015 Earnings Release Q3 2015 2.482
Synopsys Inc SNPS US Aft-mkt Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 0.605
Avago Technologies Ltd AVGO US Aft-mkt Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 1.697
Equifax Inc EFX US Investor Meeting – Kansas Y 2014
Harman International Industries Inc HAR US Annual General Meeting
International Business Machines Corp IBM US Economic Club of Washington DC Presents CEO, Ginni Rometty
Kennametal Inc KMT US Investor Meeting – Day 3 Y 2014
Questar Corp STR US Roadshow-Toronto Y 2014
Walgreen Co WAG US November 2014 Sales and Revenue Release 2014
AutoNation Inc AN US November 2014 Sales and Revenue Release 2014
Copart Inc CPRT US Annual General Meeting
TIBCO Software Inc TIBX US Special Meeting – M&A Vote

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