Live Index – Mon, 28 Jul 2014 Premarket
September E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 -0.14%) this morning are down -0.08% and European stocks are up +0.14%. Goldman Sachs cut its rating on global stocks to neutral for the next 3 months, saying stocks are at risk of a brief selloff as rising inflation boosts government bond yields. Stocks received a boost on increased M&A activity after Dollar Tree agreed to buy rival Family Dollar Stores in a cash-and-stock deal valued at about $ 8.5 billion. Russia’s Micex fell nearly 2% to a 2-month low and the ruble slid as the U.S. and Europe consider more sanctions against Russia after the U.S. said it had satellite photos showing Russia firing across the border at Ukraine forces. Asian stocks closed mostly higher: Japan +0.46%, Hong Kong +0.88%, China +2.81%, Taiwan -0.20%, Australia -0.11%, Singapore closed for holiday, South Korea +0.78%, India -0.52%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock Index rallied to a 6-month high on speculation Q2 Japanese company earnings results will be positive. China’s Shanghai Stock Index jumped to a 7-month high on signs of increased company profits after China Jun industrial profits rose by the most in 9 months. Commodity prices are mixed. Sep crude oil (CLU14 -0.44%) is down -0.60%. Sep gasoline (RBU14 -0.44%) is down -0.43%. Aug gold (GCQ14 +0.11%) is up +0.07%. Sep copper (HGU14 +0.02%) is up +0.23%. Agriculture prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.02%) is down -0.03%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.07%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.01%. Sep T-note prices (ZNU14 -0.06%) are down -4 ticks.
ECB Vice President Constancio said that the Eurozone and the global economy “still face challenges” and that inflation rates in the Eurozone “remained too low” in the second quarter.
China Jun industrial profits rose +17.9% y/y, the largest increase in 9 months.
Today’s June pending home sales report is expected to show an increase of +0.5% m/m, adding to the sharp gain of +6.1% seen in May. The Treasury today will sell $ 29 billion of 2-year T-notes. There are 10 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Tyson Foods (consensus $ 0.78), Cummins (2.39), Roper Industries (1.50), Plum Creek Timber (0.30), and Eastman Chemical (1.84). Equity conferences this week include the following: Institute of Validation technology on Tue-Thu, and Marcus Evans 13th Annual Outage Management for Power Plants Conference on Tue-Thu.
Tyson Foods (TSN -0.58%) reported Q3 EPS of 75 cents, weaker than consensus of 78 cents.
PG&E (PCG -0.57%) was downgraded to ‘Sell’ from ‘Neutral’ at Goldman Sachs.
Pfizer (PFE -0.49%) was downgraded to ‘Market Perform’ from ‘Outperform’ at BMO Capital.
Time Warner Cable (TWC -1.09%) was upgraded to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ at Wunderlich.
Semtech (SMTC -4.26%) was upgraded to ‘Strong Buy’ from ‘Outperform’ at Raymond James.
Reynolds American (RAI -0.75%) was upgraded to ‘Top Pick’ from ‘Outperform’ at RBC Capital.
Cal-Maine Foods (CALM +0.66%) reported Q4 EPS $ 1.30, better than consensus of $ 1.15.
Citigroup raised its price target for Chipotle (CMG +2.03%) to $ 793 from $ 648 and keeps its ‘Buy’ ratng on the stock.
Dollar Tree (DLTR -1.33%) agreed to buy Family Dollar (FDO -0.79%) for $ 74.50 per share in cash and stock.
Cisco (CSCO +0.54%) was downgraded to ‘Sector Perform’ from ‘Outperform’ at Pacific Crest.
CIT Group (CIT +0.59%) was upgraded to ‘Overweight’ from ‘Equal Weight’ at Morgan Stanley who also raised their price target on the stock to $ 57 from $ 46.
Cummins (CMI -0.43%) reported Q2 EPS of $ 2.43, higher than consensus of $ 2.39.
Roper Industries (ROP -0.14%) reported Q2 EPS of $ 1.56, better than consensus of $ 1.50.
The U.S Commerce Department proposed expanded duties on some Chinese solar-energy imports, according to Bloomberg, potentially affecting Chinese solar companies such as Trina (TSL +0.71%), Yingli (YGE +0.57%) and JinkoSolar (JKS +2.17%), among others.
Amazon.com (AMZN -9.65%) is likely to remain range-bound as costs escalate, according to Barron’s.
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 -0.14%) this morning are down -1.50 points (-0.08%). The S&P 500 index on Friday closed moderately lower: S&P 500 -0.48%, Dow Jones -0.72%, Nasdaq -0.50%. The durable goods orders report was generally favorable, but stocks lost ground on (1) pre-weekend long liquidation pressure, (2) nervousness as the U.S. and Europe consider further sanctions against Russia, and (3) the surprise 50 bp rate hike to 8.00% by the Russian central bank along with the -1.45% sell-off in the Russian Micex stock index on Friday.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU14 -0.06%) this morning are down -4 ticks. Sep 10-year T-note futures prices on Friday closed moderately higher on weak global stocks and on increased safe-haven demand with impending new sanctions on Russia and the Russian rate hike. Closes: TYU4 +8.5, FVU4 +3.75.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.02%) this morning is down -0.023 (-0.03%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0010 (+0.07%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.01 (+0.01%). The dollar index on Friday extended the 3-week rally to a new 5-1/2 month high with bullish factors including generally strong U.S. economic data and continued safe-haven demand. EUR/USD fell to a new 8-month low on the ECB’s recent monetary policy easing and on concerns about new sanctions on Russia. Closes: Dollar index +0.16 (+0.19%), EUR/USD -0.0034 (-0.25%), USD/JPY +0.02 (+0.02%).
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU14 -0.44%) this morning is down -61 cents (-0.60%). and Sep gasoline (RBU14 -0.44%) is down -0.0122 (-0.43%). Aug crude and gasoline prices on Friday closed steady to higher: CLU4 +0.02 (+0.02%), RBU4 +0.0272 (+0.97%). Crude oil and gasoline prices received a boost on Friday from Ukraine-Russian turmoil, but continued to see some downward pressure from rising U.S. gasoline inventories and concerns about a near-term rise in Libyan exports.
|US||0945 ET||Jul Markit services PMI expected -0.2 to 59.8, Jun +2.9 to 61.0.|
|1000 ET||Jun pending home sales expected +0.5% m/m and -5.2% y/y, May +6.1% m/m and -6.9% y/y.|
|1030 ET||Jul Dallas Fed manufacturing activity expected +0.6 to 12.0, Jun +3.4 to 11.4.|
|1100 ET||USDA weekly grain export inspections.|
|1300 ET||Treasury auctions $ 29 billion of 2-year T-notes.|
|1600 ET||USDA weekly crop progress.|
|JPN||1930 ET||Japan Jun jobless rate expected unch at 3.5%, May 3.5%. Jun job-to-applicant ratio expected unch at 1.09, May 1.09.|
|1930 ET||Japan Jun overall household spending expected -3.9% y/y, May -8.0% y/y.|
|1950 ET||Japan Jun retail sales expected +0.8% y/y and -0.5% y/y, May +4.6% m/m and -0.4% y/y.|
|Company Name||Ticker||Time||Event Description||Period||Estimate|
|Roper Industries Inc||ROP US||Bef-mkt||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||1.503|
|Tyson Foods Inc||TSN US||Bef-mkt||Q3 2014 Earnings Release||Q3 2014||0.784|
|Cummins Inc||CMI US||7:30||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||2.385|
|Tyson Foods Inc||TSN US||8:00||Q3 2014 Earnings Call||Q3 2014|
|Roper Industries Inc||ROP US||8:30||Q2 2014 Earnings Call||Q2 2014|
|Cummins Inc||CMI US||10:00||Q2 2014 Earnings Call||Q2 2014|
|Plum Creek Timber Co Inc||PCL US||17:00||Q2 2014 Earnings Call||Q2 2014|
|XL Group PLC||XL US||17:00||Q2 2014 Earnings Call||Q2 2014|
|Eastman Chemical Co||EMN US||17:00||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||1.837|
|Plum Creek Timber Co Inc||PCL US||Aft-mkt||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||0.299|
|General Growth Properties Inc||GGP US||Aft-mkt||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||0.305|
|XL Group PLC||XL US||Aft-mkt||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||0.837|
|Masco Corp||MAS US||Aft-mkt||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||0.281|
|Range Resources Corp||RRC US||Aft-mkt||Q2 2014 Earnings Release||Q2 2014||0.398|
|Jacobs Engineering Group Inc||JEC US||21:30||Q3 2014 Earnings Release||Q3 2014||0.864|
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