Thu Oct 16 2014
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Live Index – Thu, 16 Oct 2014 Premarket

PREMARKET WORLD NEWS

December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 -1.19%) this morning are down -1.31% and European stocks are down -2.04% at a 13-1/4 month low as global stocks continue their downside correction. Greek government bonds plunged as the 10-year Greek bond yield surged 81 bp to a 9-month high of 8.66% on concern the government won’t be able to fund itself adequately if it sticks to plans to leave an international bailout program early. Spain’s 10-year government bond yield jumped 23 bp to a 1-month high of 2.34% after it sold 3.2 billion euros of 10-year and 15-year debt, less than a target of 3.5 billion euros. The S&P 500 had recovered from a 6-month low late yesterday and traded higher early in the overnight electronic session after Fed Chair Yellen told a private meeting of the Group of 30 that “she expressed confidence” in the U.S. economic outlook and the economy looked to be on track to achieve growth of around 2%, according to two people familiar with her comments. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -2.22%, Hong Kong -1.03%, China -0.79%, Taiwan -0.25%, Australia +0.18%, Singapore -1.39%, South Korea -0.44%, India -1.33%. Japanese banks and exporters tumbled and led the overall market lower as the Nikkei Stock Index fell to a 4-1/2 month low, while China’s Shanghai Stock Index erased gains and closed lower after a gauge of new credit rose less than expected. Commodity prices are mostly lower. Nov crude oil (CLX14 -1.80%) is down -1.91%. Nov gasoline (RBX14 -0.21%) is down -0.29%. Dec gold (GCZ14 -0.14%) is down -0.17%. Dec copper (HGZ14 -1.40%) is down -1.68% at a 7-month low on global demand concerns amid increasing supplies after LME copper inventories surged +3,025 MT to a 2-3/4 month high of 157,675 MT. Agriculture and livestock prices are mostly lower. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.06%) is up +0.14%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.76%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.26% as the global stock market rout boosts the safe-haven demand of the yen. Dec T-note prices (ZNZ14 +0.53%) are up +21.5 ticks.

China Sep new yuan loans rose +857.2 billion yuan, more than expectations of +750.0 billion yuan, Sep aggregate financing, China’s broadest measure of new credit, rose +1.05 trillion yuan, a 3-month high but slightly less than expectations of +1.15 trillion yuan.

China Sep foreign direct investment unexpectedly rose +1.9% y/y, better than expectations of -14.0% y/y and the first increase in 3 months.

Eurozone Sep CPI rose +0.4% m/m, right on expectations and on an annual basis was left unrevised at +0.3% y/y. The Sep core CPI was revised upward to +0.8% y/y from the originally reported +0.7% y/y.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

The market is expecting today’s weekly unemployment claims report to show small changes and remain favorable, near recent 8-1/2 year lows. The market is looking for a favorable Sep industrial production report today after August’s weak report. The market is expecting today’s Oct NAHB housing market index to be unchanged from September’s 8-3/4 year high of 59.

There are 22 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Goldman Sachs (consensus $ 3.21), Google (6.53), Capital One (1.94), Fifth Third (0.43), Schlumberger (1.46), Baxter (1.31), UnitedHealth Group (1.53), Delta Air (1.18), PPG Industries (2.76). Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Bloomberg Next Big Thing Summit: East on Thu, and 5th Annual Global Automotive Forum on Thu.

PREMARKET U.S. STOCKS

Mattel (MAT -0.39%) reported Q3 EPS of 98 cents, below consensus of $ 1.02.

Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB -3.48%) reported Q3 EPS of 39 cents, less than consensus of 43 cents.

Baxter International (BAX -0.76%) reported Q3 EPS of $ 1.35, better than consensus of $ 1.31.

UnitedHealth Group (UNH -0.80%) reported Q3 EPS of $ 1.63, higher than consensus of $ 1.53.

Goldman Sachs (GS -0.82%) reported Q3 EPS of $ 4.57, well above consensus of $ 3.21.

Integrated Core Strategies reported a 4.9% passive stake in Dynegy (DYN -1.20%) .

HNI Corporation (HNI +0.39%) reported Q3 EPS of 81 cents, well above consensus of 71 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS view to $ 1.95-$ 2.00, better than consensus of $ 1.82.

Transocean (RIG +1.62%) said it received $ 610 million in new contracts since its September 22 fleet update.

United Rentals (URI +1.06%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $ 2.20, higher than consensus of $ 2.08.

eBay (EBAY -0.69%) slipped over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 68 cents, better than consensus of 67 cents, although Q3 revenue of $ 4.35 billion was below consensus of $ 4.37 billion. The company then lowered gidance on fiscal 2014 revenue to $ 17.85 billion – $ 17.95 billion, weaker than consensus of $ 18.15 billion.

Las Vegas Sands (LVS +1.19%) reported Q3 EPS of 84 cents, lower than consensus of 85 cents.

American Express (AXP -2.19%) reported Q3 EPS of $ 1.40, higher than consensus of $ 1.36.

Netflix (NFLX -0.12%) plunged over 20% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 96 cents, better than consensus of 93 cents, but then said its sees Q4 EPS of only 44 cents, well below consensus of 85 cents.

Universal Forest (UFPI +4.29%) reported Q3 EPS of 96 cents, weaker than consensus of 99 cents.

MARKET COMMENTS

Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 -1.19%) this morning are down -24.25 points (-1.31%). The S&P 500 index on Wednesday slumped to a 6-month low and closed lower. S&P 500 -0.81%, Dow Jones -1.06%, Nasdaq -0.64%. Bearish factors included (1) economic concerns after U.S. Sep retail sales ex-autos unexpectedly fell -0.2%, weaker than expectations of +0.2%, and (2) a fall in airline stocks on concern over the spread of the Ebola virus after a second health-care worker tested positive for the virus and flew on a commercial flight the day before. Stocks recovered from their worst levels on the upbeat Fed Beige Book.

Dec 10-year T-notes (ZNZ14 +0.53%) this morning are up +21.5 ticks. Dec 10-year T-note futures prices on Wednesday rallied sharply to a contract high and the yield on the 10-year T-note yield plummeted to a 1-1/3 year low of 1.862%. Closes: TYZ4 +1-4.00/32, FVZ4 +22.75. Bullish factors include (1) weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data on Sep retail sales and Oct Empire manufacturing that fueled massive capitulation by short-positions as the weak global economic data virtually eliminates the chance of a Fed rate hike in the first half of 2015, and (2) carry-over support from a rally in German bunds to a record high as the 10-year German bund yield tumbled to an all-time low of 0.719%.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.06%) this morning is up +0.121 (+0.14%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0098 (-0.76%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.28 (-0.26%). The dollar index on Wednesday fell to a 3-week low and closed lower. Closes: Dollar index -0.675 (-0.79%), EUR/USD +0.01802 (+1.42%), USD/JPY -1.136 (-1.06%). Bearish factors included (1) U.S. economic concerns that dampened speculation the Fed will raise interest rates anytime soon after Sep retail sales fell more than expected, and (2) strength in the yen after USD/JPY rose to a 5-week high as the slump in stocks boosted safe-haven demand for the yen.

Nov WTI crude oil (CLX14 -1.80%) this morning is down -$ 1.56 (-1.91%) and Nov gasoline (RBX14 -0.21%) is down -0.0063 (-0.29%). Nov crude and Nov gasoline prices on Wednesday closed lower with Nov crude at a 2-1/3 year low and Nov gasoline at a 3-3/4 year low. Closes: CLX4 -0.06 (-0.07%), RBXX4 -0.0315 (-1.44%). Bearish factors included (1) weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data on Sep retail sales and Oct Empire manufacturing activity, and (2) expectations for Thursday’s weekly EIA crude inventories to increase +2.5 million bbl. Prices rose from their worst levels after the dollar index tumbled to a 3-week low.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR10/16/2014
US0800 ETPhiladelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks on the economic outlook to the Lehigh Valley Economic Development Group.
0830 ETWeekly initial unemployment claims expected +3,000 to 290,000, previous -1,000 to 287,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -1,000 to 2.380 million, previous -21,000 to 2.381 million.
0900 ETAtlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart speaks at a conference at Rutgers University on Transforming U.S. Workforce Development Policies for the 21st Century.
0915 ETSep industrial production expected +0.4% m/m, Aug -0.1% m/m. Sep manufacturing production expected +0.3% m/m, Aug -0.4% m/m. Sep capacity utilization expected +0.2 to 79.0%, Aug -0.3 to 78.8%.
1000 ETMinneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota delivers a speech titled Clarifying the Objectives of Monetary Policy at an event in Billings, MT.
1000 ETOct Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index expected -2.8 to 19.7, Sep -5.5 to 22.5.
1000 ETOct NAHB housing market index expected unch at 59, Sep +4 to 59.
1100 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
1100 ETTreasury announces amount of 30-year TIPS to be auctioned Oct 23.
EUR0500 ETRevised Eurozone Sep CPI, Sep prelim +0.4% y/y. Revised Sep core CPI, Sep prelim +0.7% y/y.
0500 ETEurozone Aug trade balance (sa) expected 13.3 billion euros, July 12.2 billion euros.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR10/16/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
PPG Industries IncPPG USBef-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20142.757
Delta Air Lines IncDAL USBef-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.176
BB&T CorpBBT US5:45Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.717
Danaher CorpDHR US6:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.892
UnitedHealth Group IncUNH US6:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.529
Mattel IncMAT US6:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.02
Baker Hughes IncBHI US6:30Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.131
Fifth Third BancorpFITB US6:30Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.429
Baxter International IncBAX US7:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.309
Philip Morris International IncPM US7:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.334
Snap-on IncSNA US7:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.618
Dover CorpDOV US7:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.313
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/TheGS US7:30Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20143.214
WW Grainger IncGWW US7:30Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20143.287
Alliance Data Systems CorpADS US7:30Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20143.307
Navient CorpNAVI US8:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
BB&T CorpBBT US8:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Danaher CorpDHR US8:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
WW Grainger IncGWW US8:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Baker Hughes IncBHI US8:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Baxter International IncBAX US8:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Alliance Data Systems CorpADS US8:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Mattel IncMAT US8:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
UnitedHealth Group IncUNH US8:45Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Philip Morris International IncPM US9:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Fifth Third BancorpFITB US9:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/TheGS US9:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Snap-on IncSNA US10:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Dover CorpDOV US10:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Delta Air Lines IncDAL US10:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
United Rentals IncURI US11:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Apple IncAAPL US11:30Special Media Event
PPG Industries IncPPG US14:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Stryker CorpSYK US16:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.138
People’s United Financial IncPBCT US16:00Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.211
Capital One Financial CorpCOF US16:05Q3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.941
Xilinx IncXLNX US16:20Q2 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20150.556
Google IncGOOGL US16:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Stryker CorpSYK US16:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Capital One Financial CorpCOF US17:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Xilinx IncXLNX US17:00Q2 2015 Earnings CallQ2 2015
SanDisk CorpSNDK US17:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
People’s United Financial IncPBCT US17:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Schlumberger LtdSLB USAft-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.461
Google IncGOOGL USAft-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20146.533
SanDisk CorpSNDK USAft-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.332
Pfizer IncPFE USFDA Adcomm, Chantix, risk of serious neuropsychiatric adverse events

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