Wed Aug 06 2014
Live Index (1446 articles)

Live Index – Wed, 06 Aug 2014 Premarket

PREMARKET WORLD NEWS

September E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 -0.26%) this morning are down -0.34% at a 2-month low and European stocks are down -1.41% at a 4-1/2 month low amid escalating tension in Ukraine. The Polish Foreign Ministry said the risk of Russia invading Ukraine has increased in the “last dozen hours or so” after Russian President Putin increased the number of troops on his country’s western border. Concern over the European economy is another negative for stocks after German factory orders unexpectedly fell by the most in 2-3/4 years and after Italy Q2 GDP fell -0.2% q/q after falling -0.1% q/q in Q1, which pushes Italy into recession. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan -1.05%, Hong Kong -0.26%, China -0.26%, Taiwan +0.03%, Australia -0.12%, Singapore -0.22%, South Korea -0.38%, India -0.94%. Commodity prices are mixed. Sep crude oil (CLU14 +0.37%) is up +0.21%. Sep gasoline (RBU14 +0.88%) is up +0.71%. Dec gold (GCZ14 +0.41%) is up +0.47%. Sep copper (HGU14 -1.08%) is down -1.11% at a 2-week low. Agriculture and livestock prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.44%) is up +0.43% at a 10-3/4 month high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.25% at an 8-3/4 month low. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.22%. Increased safe-haven demand from a slide in stocks has boosted U.S. and German government bonds with Sep T-note prices (ZNU14 +0.20%) up +8.5 ticks at a 2-week high and as the yield on the 10-year German bund fell to 1.100%, the lowest on record.

German Jun factory orders unexpectedly fell -3.2% m/m, much weaker than expectations of +0.9% m/m and the largest monthly decline in 2-3/4 years. On an annual basis Jun factory orders fell -2.4%, weaker than expectations of +1.1% y/y.

UK Jun industrial production rose +0.3% m/m and +1.2% y/y, weaker than expectations of +0.6% m/m and +1.5% y/y.

UK Jun manufacturing production rose +0.3% m/m and +1.9% y/y, less than expectations of +0.6% m/m and +2.1% y/y.

UK Jul Halifax house prices rose +1.4% m/m and +10.2% in the three months through Jul, more than expectations of +0.4% m/m and +9.6% in the three months through Jul.

The Japan Jun leading index CI rose +0.7 to 105.5, right on expectations. The Jun coincident index fell -0.9 to 109.4, a larger decline than expectations of -0.7 to 109.6 and the lowest in 10 months.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Today’s U.S. June trade deficit is expected to widen slightly to -$ 44.8 billion from -$ 44.4 billion in May. The markets will be watching today’s weekly MBA mortgage apps report for an update on mortgage market activity and the implications for home sales.

There are 47 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Time Warner (consensus $ 0.84), Devon Energy (1.40), Molson Coors (1.47), Cheasapeake (0.44), Ralph Lauren (1.76). Equity conferences for the remainder of this week include: CFA Society of Minnesota InvestMNt Conference on Wed, Black Hat USA 2014 on Wed-Thu, Needham Advanced Industrial Technologies Conference on Thu.

PREMARKET U.S. STOCKS

Sprint (S -1.22%) slumped 17% in pre-market trading after a person with knowledge of the matter said the company ended talks to acquire T-Mobile.

Time Warner (TWX -0.40%) dropped 12% in pre-market trading after 21st Century Fox withdrew its takeover bid for the company.

DISH (DISH -0.45%) reported Q2 EPS of 46 cents, below consensus of 51 cents

Cablevision (CVC -7.04%) was upgraded to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Sell’ at Citigroup.

Tesla (TSLA -0.01%) was initiated with an ‘Outperform’ at Pacific Crest with a price target of $ 316.

Peugeot (PEUGY +1.45%) was upgraded to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Sell’ at Citigroup.

Credit Agricole (CRARY +0.87%) was upgraded to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ at Deutsche Bank.

Cerner (CERN -1.45%) will acquire Siemens Health Services (SIEGY -1.38%) for $ 1.3 billion in cash.

Disney (DIS -0.56%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of $ 1.28, above consensus of $ 1.17.

Activision Blizzard (ATVI -1.11%) rose over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 6 cents, three time more than consensus of 2 cents.

Groupon (GRPN +0.71%) sank 17% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 1 cent, right on consensus, but then lowered guidance on Q3 EPS to zero to 2 cents, below consensus of 3 cents.

MARKET COMMENTS

Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 -0.26%) this morning are down -6.50 points (-0.34%) at a new 2-month low. The S&P 500 index on Tuesday slumped to a 2-month low and closed lower: S&P 500 -0.97%, Dow Jones -0.84%, Nasdaq -0.87%. Negative factors included (1) concern over escalation of the Ukraine crisis after Poland’s Foreign Minister said Russia is amassing troops on the Ukraine border and are poised to invade Ukraine, and (2) Chinese economic concerns after the China HSBC Jul services PMI dropped -3.1 to 50.0, the lowest since the data series began in 2005. Stocks ignored bullish factors that included (1) the Jul ISM non-manufacturing index that rose +2.7 to an 8-1/2 year high of 58.7, and (2) the +1.1% increase in Jun factory orders, stronger than expectations of +0.6%.

Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU14 +0.20%) this morning are up +8.5 ticks at a 2-week high. Sep 10-year T-note futures prices on Tuesday erased early losses and closed little changed after a slide in stocks boosted safe-haven demand for T-notes. T-notes had been lower most of the day on concern the Fed may hike interest rates sooner-than-expected after Jun factory orders rose more than expected and after the Jul ISM non-manufacturing index expanded at its fastest pace in 8-1/2 years. Closes: TYU4 +0.50, FVU4 -1.25.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.44%) this morning is up +0.350 (+0.43%) at a 10-3/4 month high. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0034 (-0.25%) at an 8-3/4 month low and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.23 (-0.22%). The dollar index on Tuesday jumped to a 10-1/2 month high but fell back on profit taking and closed unchanged. The dollar had moved higher after the larger-than-expected increase in the Jul ISM non-manufacturing index to an 8-1/2 year high and the stronger than expected Jun factory orders added to evidence the U.S. economy is gathering steam. EUR/USD slipped to an 8-3/4 month low as expectations the Fed will tighten monetary policy before the ECB, which boosted the dollar’s interest rate differentials against the euro. Closes: Dollar index unch, EUR/USD -0.00458 (-0.34%), USD/JPY +0.026 (+0.03%).

Sep WTI crude oil (CLU14 +0.37%) this morning is up +20 cents (+0.21%) and Sep gasoline (RBU14 +0.88%) is up +0.0192 (+0.71%). Sep crude and gasoline prices on Tuesday closed lower with Sep gasoline at a 6-month low: CLU4 -0.91 (-0.93%), RBU4 -0.0094 (-0.34%). Bearish factors included (1) the rally in the dollar index to a 10-1/2 month high, and (2) concern that the shutdown of the Coffeyville, Kansas, refinery last week will lead to an increase in inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point of WTI futures, when EIA weekly inventory data is released on Wednesday.

GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/06/2014
US0700 ETWeekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -2.2% with purchase sub-index +0.2% and refi sub-index -4.0%.
0830 ETJun trade balance expected -$ 44.8 billion, May -$ 44.4 billion.
0900 ETTreasury announces amount of 3-year T-notes (previous $ 27 billion), 10-year T-notes (previous $ 21 billion) and 30-year T-bonds (previous $ 13 billion) to be auctioned Aug 12-14 in the Aug quarterly refunding.
1030 ETEIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
JPN0100 ETJapan Jun coincident index expected -1.7 to 109.6, May 111.3. Jun leading index CI expected +0.6 to 105.4, May 104.8.
GER0200 ETGerman Jun factory orders expected +0.9% m/m and +1.1% y/y, May -1.7% m/m and +5.5% y/y.
UK0430 ETUK Jun industrial production expected +0.6% m/m and +1.5% y/y, May -0.7% m/m and +2.3% y/y.
0430 ETUK Jun manufacturing production expected +0.6% m/m and +2.1% y/y, May -1.3% m/m and +3.7% y/y.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/06/2014
Company NameTickerTimeEvent DescriptionPeriodEstimate
Time Warner IncTWX USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.844
Devon Energy CorpDVN USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.397
Rowan Cos PlcRDC USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.223
Denbury Resources IncDNR USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.272
Spectra Energy CorpSE USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.295
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.625
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.436
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.468
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP USBef-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.235
Parker Hannifin CorpPH US7:30Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20142.076
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US8:00Q2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.388
Ralph Lauren CorpRL US8:00Q1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20151.757
Cognizant Technology Solutions CorpCTSH US8:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Viacom IncVIAB US8:30Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Ralph Lauren CorpRL US9:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Spectra Energy CorpSE US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Chesapeake Energy CorpCHK US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
EOG Resources IncEOG US9:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Mondelez International IncMDLZ US10:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Time Warner IncTWX US10:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Devon Energy CorpDVN US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
ONEOK IncOKE US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Parker Hannifin CorpPH US11:00Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
Rowan Cos PlcRDC US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Denbury Resources IncDNR US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US11:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
CenterPoint Energy IncCNP US12:30Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Cimarex Energy CoXEC US13:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Molson Coors Brewing CoTAP US14:00Q2 2014 Earnings Call – Follow-up SessionC2 2014
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA US16:00Q4 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ4 20140.385
Twenty-First Century Fox IncFOXA US16:30Q4 2014 Earnings CallQ4 2014
CenturyLink IncCTL US17:00Q2 2014 Earnings CallQ2 2014
Keurig Green Mountain IncGMCR US17:00Q3 2014 Earnings CallQ3 2014
Symantec CorpSYMC US17:00Q1 2015 Earnings CallQ1 2015
Dun & Bradstreet Corp/TheDNB USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.347
CenturyLink IncCTL USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.647
Keurig Green Mountain IncGMCR USAft-mktQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20140.878
Transocean LtdRIG USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20141.11
CF Industries Holdings IncCF USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20146.695
Integrys Energy Group IncTEG USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.463
QEP Resources IncQEP USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20140.326
Essex Property Trust IncESS USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20142.029
Prudential Financial IncPRU USAft-mktQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 20142.345
Symantec CorpSYMC USAft-mktQ1 2015 Earnings ReleaseQ1 20150.421
Viacom IncVIAB USQ3 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ3 20141.434
Leucadia National CorpLUK USQ2 2014 Earnings ReleaseQ2 2014
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