Dollar dips vs yen, kiwi lifted by RBNZ’s rate view
Tue Aug 23 2016
Lucy Harlow (3589 articles)

Dollar dips vs yen, kiwi lifted by RBNZ’s rate view

TOKYO : The dollar dipped against the yen on Tuesday, while the New Zealand dollar rose after the nation’s central bank chief said he did not see the need for a rapid succession of interest rate cuts.

The dollar shed 0.1 percent to 100.220 against the safe-haven yen amid a pullback in Tokyo stocks.

The greenback had risen to almost 101.00 yen overnight following hawkish-sounding comments by Federal Reserve Vice Chair Stanley Fischer before it lost steam.

The euro edged up 0.1 percent to $ 1.1332 , stepping off an overnight low of $ 1.1271.

The New Zealand dollar was a relatively big mover in an otherwise subdued Asian trading session. The kiwi was up 0.6 percent at $ 0.7308 after Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler said the current interest rate track involves further monetary easing but did not see the need for a rapid series of rate cuts.

“We remain committed to the inflation goals in the Policy Targets Agreement. We do not believe that the outlook and balance of risks warrants a position of no policy change, nor a position of rapid easings,” Wheeler said in a speech which was released on the RBNZ’s website on Tuesday.

The RBNZ in early August cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a record low of 2.0 percent and said further policy easing may be needed.

The kiwi nevertheless rose to a 15-month high of $ 0.7351 mid-month, as it has proved resilient to falling cash rates at home given they remain far higher relative to those of other developed economies.

“As for now the kiwi has digested profit taking and risen, but whether it can maintain its medium-term uptrend will depend on how the dollar fares after (Fed Chair Janet) Yellen’s appearance at Jackson Hole,” said Junichi Ishikawa, forex analyst at IG Securities in Tokyo.

“From a technical viewpoint, the kiwi could head into a correction phase without more supportive factors.”

While views expressed by various Fed officials over the past week have impacted the dollar, a wait-and-see mood has begun to take hold ahead of possibly the most decisive speech of them all – by Fed Chair Yellen on Friday.

Yellen will speak at the annual meeting of world central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

The market’s focus was on whether she would express hawkish views similar to those of Vice Chair Fischer and New York Fed President William Dudley, or take a more subdued stance in line with the July Fed policy meeting minutes that suggested the central bank was not in a hurry to raise rates.

Over the immediate horizon, the market is looking for catalysts from the euro zone and U.S. purchasing managers index (PMI) data and U.S. home sales numbers due later in the session.

“So far data from the Eurozone has been relatively healthy and regional officials believe the impact of Brexit on their local economies will be limited. Considering that U.K. PMIs took a nosedive recently, investors will be watching the Eurozone PMIs carefully,” wrote Kathy Lien, managing director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management.

The Australian dollar was up 0.1 percent at $ 0.7638, moving up on the coattails of the kiwi.

Lucy Harlow

Lucy Harlow

Lucy Harlow is a senior Correspondent who has been reporting about Commodities, Currencies, Bonds etc across the globe for last 10 years. She reports from New York and tracks daily movement of various indices across the Globe


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