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Symbol Last Change % High Low
BITCOIN 84,905.0 +693.4 +0.82% 86,186.0 84,095.0
Open Last Trade : 16:04 UTC Time : Tue Apr 15 2025 16:04

BTC : Intraday Live Chart

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1Apr 1503:0406:0009:0012:0015:00

BTC : Technical Signal Buy & Sell

5 Min Signal 1 Hour Signal 1 Day Signal
Sell Buy Sell

BTC : Moving Averages

Period MA 20 MA 50 MA 100
5 Minutes 85421.10 85586.57 85365.96
1 Hour 85247.33 84747.08 84394.87
1 Day 83060.24 84663.20 91746.59
1 Week 92759.81 76638.40 58277.38

BTC : Technical Resistance Level

Resistance 1 - R1 Resistance 2 - R2 Resistance 3 - r3
29,233.0 2,031.0 31,264.0

BTC : Technical Support Level

Support 1 - S1 Support 2 - S2 Support 3 - S3
27,202.0 -2,031.0 25,171.0

BTC : Periodical High, Low & Average

Period High
Change from Last
Low
Change from Last
Average
Change from Last
1 Week 85,732.0
-827.0
74,773.0
+10,132.0
82,200.4
+2,704.6
1 Month 88,714.0
-3,809.0
74,604.0
+10,301.0
83,565.8
+1,339.2
3 Month 108,786.0
-23,881.0
74,604.0
+10,301.0
91,205.2
-6,300.2
6 Month 108,786.0
-23,881.0
64,886.0
+20,019.0
89,899.0
-4,994.0
1 Year 108,786.0
-23,881.0
49,486.9
+35,418.1
76,351.0
+8,554.0

BTC : Historical Chart

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About Bitcoin

BTC/USD Forecast – Historical Analysis, Year-Wise Accuracy & Price Trends of Bitcoin

The BTC/USD pair is one of the most watched currency pairs globally, reflecting the price of Bitcoin in terms of the US Dollar. As the cryptocurrency market matures, understanding the historical behavior of BTC/USD becomes essential for investors, traders, and financial analysts. This comprehensive guide explores Bitcoin’s yearly performance, historical volatility, and longtail keyword insights for forecasting BTC/USD prices.


Historical Overview of BTC/USD Price Movement

Since Bitcoin’s inception in 2009, BTC/USD has experienced unparalleled volatility. The early years were marked by minimal trading volumes and speculative interest, but as blockchain adoption grew, so did institutional and retail participation. Below is a breakdown of the BTC/USD journey over the years.

2009 – 2012: Early Days of Bitcoin

In 2009, Bitcoin’s value was virtually zero, as it was mainly mined and traded among tech-savvy enthusiasts. By 2010, BTC/USD had its first price quote on exchanges like Mt. Gox. One of the earliest known commercial transactions was the famous 10,000 BTC for two pizzas, pricing Bitcoin at about $0.003.

  • 2011 saw the first major rally, with BTC hitting $31, followed by a crash back to $2.

  • In 2012, Bitcoin remained relatively stable between $4 and $13, driven by a growing user base and early exchange activity.

2013 – 2016: Entry into Mainstream Consciousness

  • 2013 was monumental. Bitcoin climbed from $13 to over $1,100, prompting mainstream media coverage. The rise was followed by a crash after China’s crackdown on crypto exchanges.

  • 2014 marked the Mt. Gox collapse, dragging BTC/USD to $300–$400 range.

  • 2015 and 2016 were recovery years. The pair gradually increased, closing 2016 around $963, amid growing awareness and ecosystem development.

2017: The First Major Bull Run

Bitcoin’s historic bull run in 2017 saw BTC/USD soar from $963 to an all-time high of nearly $19,800 in December. The rally was fueled by ICO hype, media attention, and influx of retail investors. However, the end of 2017 marked the beginning of another major correction.

2018 – 2019: Bear Market and Stabilization

  • In 2018, BTC/USD plunged from $13,880 to $3,200, signaling a sharp bear phase.

  • 2019 brought a mild recovery, with Bitcoin reaching $13,000 briefly, but ending the year near $7,200.

2020 – 2021: Institutional Inflow and ATH

  • 2020 marked a turning point. Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, BTC/USD gained traction as a hedge against inflation. By the end of 2020, BTC was trading near $28,900.

  • In 2021, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $68,789 in November. Institutional adoption, ETF launches, and macroeconomic uncertainty fueled the rally.

2022 – 2023: Correction, FTX Collapse, and Market Turbulence

  • 2022 was a bearish year, starting around $46,000 and ending below $17,000 due to Fed rate hikes, Luna crash, and FTX scandal.

  • 2023 showed signs of recovery. BTC/USD steadily climbed past $30,000, ending the year near $42,000, aided by inflation cooling and rising ETF optimism.

2024 (YTD): Bitcoin Halving and Institutional Momentum

As of early 2025, the BTC/USD pair trades around $69,000, buoyed by Bitcoin ETF inflows, renewed institutional interest, and the anticipation of the 2024 halving event, which occurred in April. This four-yearly supply cut often triggers bullish momentum.


Year-Wise BTC/USD Comparison Table (with Accuracy Check)

YearOpening PriceClosing PriceHighLowAccuracy of Predicted TrendNotable Events
2011$0.30$4.72$31$0.30❌ Missed surgeFirst bull cycle
2012$5.27$13.30$13.45$4.22✅ Correct trendHalving #1
2013$13.30$805.90$1,147$13.40❌ Underestimated growthCyprus crisis, China ban
2014$805.90$319.70$951$275✅ Correct bearish callMt. Gox collapse
2015$320$430.50$504$178✅ Accurate recovery trendStart of recovery
2016$430.50$963.74$978$358✅ Halving-driven riseHalving #2
2017$963.74$13,880$19,800$963✅ Bull marketICO boom
2018$13,880$3,709$17,252$3,200✅ Correct bear trendBubble burst
2019$3,709$7,192$13,000$3,358✅ Mild reboundChina interest
2020$7,192$28,949$29,200$3,858✅ Pandemic rallyInstitutional entry
2021$28,949$46,306$68,789$28,893✅ Peak bullish trendETF speculation
2022$46,306$16,547$48,234$15,599✅ Bearish confirmationFTX, Luna crash
2023$16,547$42,179$44,850$15,460✅ Recovery trendFed pause
2024*$42,179~$69,000$72,000$38,800✅ So far bullishHalving #4, ETF

*Data for 2024 is Year-to-Date (YTD) as of April 2025.


BTC/USD Forecasting Based on Historical Patterns

Analysts often rely on the Bitcoin halving cycle, which occurs approximately every four years, reducing the block reward and effectively tightening supply. Historically, each halving year or the year following it has led to exponential price increases.

  • Post-2012 halving: BTC surged in 2013

  • Post-2016 halving: BTC soared in 2017

  • Post-2020 halving: BTC hit ATH in 2021

  • Post-2024 halving: BTC already trending upwards in 2025

The BTC/USD outlook for 2025–2026 remains bullish if past cycles are any indication.


Accuracy Trend Overview

Over the last 14 years, the BTC/USD prediction models have seen a high trend accuracy, especially from 2015 onward when institutional-grade analytics became available. With halving cycles playing a dominant role, Bitcoin’s long-term directional moves have shown strong correlation with supply changes and macroeconomic environments.

Between 2015 and 2024, the forecast accuracy rate stands at over 85%, with only minor deviations during black swan events like exchange collapses or global market crashes.

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