Japan’ $141 billion stimulus package for economy

Sat Nov 23 2024
Ramesh Sridharan (934 articles)
Japan’ $141 billion stimulus package for economy

Japan has sanctioned a $141 billion stimulus package aimed at invigorating the economy and alleviating the burden of living expenses.

On Friday, Japan’s cabinet sanctioned an economic stimulus initiative exceeding $140 billion, marking Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s latest effort to combat inflation and stimulate growth following a significant electoral setback for his coalition last month.

The 21.9 trillion yen package, approximately $141.71 billion, seeks to alleviate escalating living expenses while fostering business innovation and investment. The government’s projections indicate that, when considering the private-sector expenditure spurred by the stimulus, the overall impact of the package could reach as high as ¥39 trillion.

Ishiba has indicated that his administration will prioritize steering the economy away from deflation and fostering growth through increased wages and investments. However, he encounters significant challenges in navigating policy direction after the ruling coalition’s loss of its majority in the lower house of parliament following the general election in late October.

The latest economic initiative sees the government allocating cash handouts of ¥30,000 to low-income households as a measure to alleviate inflationary pressures, with an additional ¥20,000 per child earmarked for families with dependents.

The government intends to reinstate subsidies for gas and electricity bills from January through March of the upcoming year. The cabinet projects that energy subsidies will lead to a monthly average decrease of 0.3 percentage points in consumer prices from February through April.

Since January 2023, the government has periodically offered energy subsidies, significantly influencing the trajectory of consumer inflation. In October, underlying inflation, which omits fresh food and energy costs, increased by 2.3% compared to the same month last year, according to data released by the government on Friday.

The government plans to allocate 10 trillion yen in subsidies and financial assistance to businesses in pertinent sectors through fiscal 2030, aiming to bolster chip supply chains and foster innovation in artificial intelligence.

The package encompasses various measures put forth by opposition parties as Ishiba endeavors to bolster political backing for his coalition.

Officials are set to deliberate on the potential increase of the threshold for tax-exempt income, presently established at ¥1.03 million. Raising the threshold stands as a central commitment articulated by the opposition Democratic Party for the People.

The increased ceiling may incentivize part-time workers to extend their hours, potentially alleviating the persistent labor shortages afflicting the nation and boosting consumer expenditure.

Conversely, this could exacerbate the fiscal predicament of the Japanese government, which is already one of the most precarious among major economies. Japan’s public debt has escalated to over twice the magnitude of its economy. As the central bank is anticipated to continue its trajectory of increasing interest rates, the cost of servicing that debt is poised to rise significantly.

Should the income-tax threshold be elevated to ¥1.78 million, as proposed by the DPFP, government estimates suggest that this could lead to a reduction in tax revenue for both central and local authorities by as much as 8 trillion yen.

The most recent package necessitates approximately ¥13.9 trillion in supplementary government general-account expenditure.

Ramesh Sridharan

Ramesh Sridharan

Ramesh Sridharan is our Stock Market Correspondent covering events and daily movements of stock markets in Asia. He is based in Mumbai