Oil on track for two-month high as lockdowns ease, positive vaccine results
Oil prices jumped on Monday, with both U.S. and Brent benchmarks on track for their highest settles in two months, supported by positive early results on a potential coronavirus vaccine and optimism about resumption in economic activity.
Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland, Texas, U.S., February 11, 2019. Picture taken February 11, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo
Brent LCOc1 futures for July delivery rose $ 2.25, or 6.9%, to $ 34.75 a barrel by 1:34 p.m. EDT (1734 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 rose $ 2.16, or 7.3%, to $ 31.59.
That puts both Brent and WTI on track for their highest settles since March 11.
Early data from Moderna Inc’s (MRNA.O) COVID-19 vaccine, the first to be tested in the United States, showed that it produced protective antibodies in a small group of healthy volunteers, the company said on Monday.
“Oil is breaking out higher after a potential coronavirus vaccine showed positive results in a Phase 1 trial and on reports that China’s crude demand is almost back towards pre-virus levels,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York.
Last week, China said its daily crude oil throughput rebounded in April from a 15-month low in March as refiners cranked up operations to meet renewed fuel demand after lockdowns imposed to prevent the spread of the coronavirus outbreak were eased.
Moreover, summer weather is enticing much of the world to emerge from coronavirus lockdowns. Shops and restaurants were reopening in Italy on Monday, while other centers of the outbreak such as New York and Spain will gradually lift restrictions.
“Optimism on the demand side of the oil equation has helped prices climb further, with gasoline demand coming back as governments ease confinement measures,” said Rystad Energy’s senior oil markets analyst Paola Rodriguez Masiu.
The rally in the June WTI CLM0 contract, which will expire on Tuesday, suggested last month’s historic plunge to negative-$ 40 a barrel would not be repeated.
July WTI NGN20 was the more actively traded futures contract with volumes in the second-month contract outpacing the front-month for several days now. The July contract was up about 6.6% to $ 31.48.
Oil prices were also supported by production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, a group known as OPEC+.
OPEC+ has cut its oil exports sharply in the first half of May, companies that track the shipments said, suggesting a strong start in complying with a new production cut agreement.
OPEC+ agreed to cut supply by a record 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) from May 1. [L8N2D056I] Saudi Arabia, the world’s top exporter, announced last week it would cut an additional 1 million barrels per day in June.
Kuwait and Saudi Arabia have agreed to halt oil production from the joint Al-Khafji field for one month, starting from June 1, Kuwait’s Al Rai newspaper reported on Saturday.
Production is also falling in North America as U.S. and Canadian energy firms slash investment in new oil and natural gas drilling and cut their overall rig counts to record lows. [EIA/S] [RIG/U]
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